- This topic has 30 replies, 1 voice, and was last updated 1 week, 5 days ago by Xpressivee.
- Friday, November 25th, 2022 at 02:44 #410371IWillKillPutin2022
XMR will still be very privateFriday, November 25th, 2022 at 02:44 #410370002timmy
In 2 years, if the market stays the way it is, I predict I’ll be divorced.Friday, November 25th, 2022 at 02:44 #410369General_Jackfruit683
Buy signal for sol and xrp?Friday, November 25th, 2022 at 02:44 #410368KeyzAndBagz
Moons will moonFriday, November 25th, 2022 at 02:44 #410367Every_Hunt_160
2 years prediction?
$100K BTC / $10K ETH / $1 DOGE !Friday, November 25th, 2022 at 02:44 #410366xbriannova
Not very optimistic to be honest. Here’s my train of thought:
From bottom to top, Bitcoin went from about $1.05 to $1,136 from 2012 to November 2013, which is about x1080. Bitcoin went from $161 to $20,112 from January 2015 to December 2017, which is about x123. Bitcoin went from $3,133 to $68,533 from December 2018 to November 2021, which is about x21.
This is indicative of diminishing gains, reduced strength of the gains. The strength reduction is about /8.7 from the bull market of 2012-2013 to the bull market of 2015-2017, and /5.9 from the bull market of 2015-2017 to the bull market of 2018-2021.
Assuming that the strength reduction between the last bull market and the next is maybe /3, this would mean that we’ll get a x7. Assuming that we have already reached the bottom, that would mean a peak of $15,412×7 = $107,884
Assuming it’s worse at /4, we’ll get a x5.25, which means a peak of $15,412×5.25 = $80,913
So, the next peak is anywhere between $80,913 to $107,884, or an average of $94,398.50
Edit: To add, based on the timeframe of the past, we could be looking at the start of the next bull market from maybe end of 2023, peaking at end of 2026. I was hoping for the peak to be at 2024 or 2025 latest, but I guess the data is against me.
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